Archive - Complete Skeptic

Lies, Damned Lies, and Benchmarks

As the famously misattributed quote goes: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.” There is now a fourth kind: AI benchmarks.

Sep 11 • Diogo

The Bitterest Lesson

Compute drives progress in AI, but what good is progress if you are not doing the right task!

Sep 10 • Diogo

(KV) Cache Rules Everything Around Me

TL;DR: The biggest cost to devs of an agent is re-reading its own context, which costs the provider close to nothing to serve.

Sep 9 • Diogo

July 2026

Is it even possible for the Chinese Labs to distill US models?

TL;DR: yes, but how it works is unintuitive!

Jul 24 • Diogo

Scaling Laws, Honestly

TL;DR: The original scaling laws were wrong due to a bug

Jul 4 • Diogo

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